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The present one-dimensional “groupthink” within the Western world, disguised as a well-celebrated “united” technique in opposition to Russia (within the Russia-Ukraine disaster), is in truth anti-Western by being “self-destructive” in making a “divisive” new world order which not solely will speed up its personal decline but in addition will create extra discord amongst nations and decrease well-being in societies world wide.
To grasp this, take into account the next 3 main features of world affairs that the Western alliance has significantly miscalculated (in its excessive response to the Russia-Ukraine disaster), whereas Western mainstream mass media (e.g., CNN, BBC, FRANCE 24, DW, and others) is complicit in its every day protection (as a disinformation cheerleader).
1st Western Miscalculation: the Fallacy of Freedom in International Politics
The primary critical Western miscalculation within the Russia-Ukraine disaster is to self-gratifyingly assume that it stands for “freedom” on the planet in opposition to “autocracy” within the East (just like the Russian invasion of Ukraine), which then licenses the Western alliance to tug the remainder of the world to its aspect with this Manichaean narrative of the world. However this Manichaean narrative backfires in 3 main methods and contributes to neither freedom nor world peace.
Within the first approach, the remainder of the world (particularly within the Non-West) doesn’t wish to be a part of this geopolitical rivalry between the U.S.-led world and the Russia-led one for hegemony (as they’d already tasted the bitter dose of proxy wars within the first Chilly Warfare between the U.S. and the united statesS.R.). Many within the Non-West in Africa, Asia, and Latin America (besides these few nations that are a part of the Western alliance) resent the relentless strain (or coercion) by the Western alliance to tug them to its orbit and thus have thus far refused to aspect with it. Certainly, fairly plenty of them even present sympathy to Russia which has been put in a nook by the ruthless enlargement of NATO into its yard and has due to this fact threatened its nationwide safety; even Pope Francis on Could 3, 2022 mentioned that NATO “barking” at Russia’s door “provoked” Putin and “facilitated” the invasion of Ukraine; or otherwise put, take into account how the U.S. would react if Canada and Mexico determined to turn out to be new members of the Russian army alliance. Not surprisingly, there may be now a re-emergence of the “non-alignment” motion within the Non-West (which was as soon as widespread in the course of the first Chilly Warfare when these roughly 120 nations refused to completely aspect with the American and Soviet energy blocs), as they’re now more and more resentful in direction of, and uninterested in, being compelled (with comfortable and laborious energy) into taking aspect with the West within the present Russia-Ukraine disaster. As an illustration, Mexico and Brazil, the two largest nations in Latin America, refuse to sentence Russia (regardless of Western strain); India and China, the two largest nations in Asia, refuse to take aspect with the West (regardless of Western strain), and OPEC (with lots of its rich members within the Center East) has stood agency on its oil take care of Russia and doesn’t yield to Western strain to punish Russia with extra oil manufacturing (after sanctions). And plenty of in Africa want to be left alone and thoughts their very own enterprise (as they have already got loads to fret about with their drawback of underdevelopment at residence), however Uganda’s President Yoweri Museveni was blunt in his response to Western strain:
“Don’t threaten me, and I cannot threaten you.”
Within the second approach, the Western Manichaean narrative not solely has didn’t resolve the Russia-Ukraine disaster peacefully but in addition, to make issues worse, has escalated it into an all-out struggle between the 2 sides, with the Western alliance actively sending superior weapons to, sharing intelligence with, and covertly taking part in combating (with Western fighters) in Ukraine. It more and more seems to be possible that Ukraine will stay a supply of proxy battle between the 2 competing energy blocs for years to come back.
Within the third approach, the Western Manichaean narrative has intensified a “hybrid” struggle to “weaken” Russia, as confirmed by the U.S. Secretary of Protection Lloyd Austin on April 26, so the disaster is now reworked into the hunt for the next “strategic” aim (totally different from its authentic modest aim to make peace between Ukraine and Russia) to “weaken” Russia in any respect prices (within the identify of “freedom”) within the energy competitors between East and West. This may additional contribute to a protracted attrition warfare between the 2 sides.
In these 3 ways, the Western Manichaean narrative contributes to simply the other (that’s, resentment and struggle).
2nd Western Miscalculation: the Fallacy of Decoupling in International Commerce
The second critical Western miscalculation within the Russia-Ukraine disaster is to naively assume that banning commerce with Russia will cease its aggression, so the world will then stay in peace and prosperity. However this naïve commerce narrative backfires in 2 main methods and contributes to neither peace nor prosperity.
Within the first approach, banning commerce with Russia contributes to a decoupling of worldwide commerce and due to this fact to growing prices and inefficiency in world commerce. That is all of the extra critical in Europe, because it will depend on Russia for pure assets (like oil and gasoline) with an excellent purpose, as the worldwide provide chains weren’t created yesterday and have taken a long time for the world financial system to evolve into what’s like at this time. So to interrupt them up instantly creates 2 critical issues. First, in search of various provide chains will take a long time to realize, not one thing to be achieved in a matter of days and weeks. And second, any various provide chains might be comparatively extra expensive and inefficient, because the Western world is now desperately trying to find various provides in distant locations like Africa, that are extra expensive to supply and transport to Europe, and the U.S. even goes as far as to barter (not but efficiently) with its distant foe in Latin America, specifically, Venezuela, for an alternate oil provide (whose regime the U.S. has tried for many years to overthrow).
Within the second approach, banning commerce with Russia will contribute to inflationary (and probably stagflationary) and recessionary penalties. Russia is a serious provider of pure assets and commodities (like oil, gasoline, coal, minerals, wheat, corn, and so forth) to the world, so banning it (with the results of much less provides to the world) might be inflationary (and probably stagflationary), so shoppers and companies will find yourself paying rather more than they need to. As well as, if financial authorities within the West (and elsewhere) intervene to tame it by increased rates of interest, there’ll possible be financial recessions in due time. Economists usually dislike inflation, stagflation, and recession, as they have a tendency to decrease dwelling requirements. That is all of the extra critical, when the Western world because the turbulent period of Trump has already doubled down on decoupling with China, the highest buying and selling nation on the planet and the “world’s manufacturing facility.” It’s not stunning that, within the present United States underneath Biden (who continues Trump’s populist coverage of decoupling), inflation has already reached a excessive degree unseen in additional than 40 years (partly additionally because of the COVID-19 pandemic), and lots of economists had predicted a looming recession, because the Fed seeks to tame inflation by climbing rates of interest.
Thus, in these two methods, decoupling contributes to simply the other (that’s, battle and decrease dwelling customary).
third Western Miscalculation: the Fallacy of Sanctions in International Finance
The third critical Western miscalculation within the Russia-Ukraine disaster is to mistakenly assume that imposing large sanctions on Russia will cripple its economic system (to discourage it from additional aggression in opposition to its neighbors), so the world will then exist with extra concord and better well-being. However this mistaken monetary narrative backfires in 2 main methods and contributes to neither higher concord nor increased well-being.
Within the first approach, imposing large sanctions on Russia (like freezing and confiscating Russian property in Western establishments) will contribute to the additional erosion of confidence within the greenback and euro in world finance, because of the disturbing undeniable fact that this blatantly violates worldwide regulation and is “unjust” in political-philosophical discourse, as an excessive type of state-sponsored “theft” and “theft.” Thus, there may be now an acute sense of intense nervousness traditionally unseen in a long time within the Non-West about this Western weaponization of its currencies (just like the greenback and euro), as a ruthless type of state-sponsored “theft” and “theft” of another person’s cash (or property). With this nationwide urgency in thoughts, Russia now calls for the EU to pay for its gasoline imports in ruble (not greenback or euro). Russia and China are actually discussing the necessity to speed up the usage of yuan and ruble (not greenback or euro) in bilateral commerce, and China and Saudi Arabia are coming near an settlement to commerce with their native currencies (not greenback or euro). As well as, India and Russia begin the speak for a rupee-ruble fee scheme to keep away from future Western sanctions, and different nations (like Iran, Cuba, Venezuela, North Korea, and so on.) have already tried totally different mechanisms to combat Western sanctions. Particularly, China is forward within the recreation by selling digital forex denominated in yuan (“digital yuan”) and has already run “public trials” of digital yuan in main cities like Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen, and others, earlier than institutionally implementing it throughout the board quickly.
Within the second approach, imposing large sanctions on Russia (like banning it from the usage of SWIFT and Visa/Mastercard) will contribute to the additional decline of Western-dominated worldwide fee techniques in the long term. Once more, with this nationwide urgency in thoughts, each Russia and China now speed up the usage of their very own monetary switch techniques (like SPFS and CIPS, respectively), simply as in addition they speed up their swap to UnionPay (China’s Visa and Mastercard various), which, by Could 2022, has already unfold to 180 nations and is accepted by greater than 50 million retailers worldwide. And Russia is speeding to implement Mir (Russia’s Visa and Mastercard various), proper after Western sanctions.
In fact, all these counter-measures will take years and a long time to totally implement, however the level right here is that, in these two methods, Western sanctions on others contribute to simply the other (that’s, distrust and isolation), with world finance breaking down into totally different regional techniques, in order to fight Western monetary domination and weaponization.
Conclusion: the West as its Personal Worst Enemy
On these three main fronts, the Western world, with its present one-dimensional “groupthink” which doesn’t welcome dissenting voices in a well-celebrated “united” technique, is self-destructive in striving for a “divisive” new world order because the collapse of the Bretten-Woods system in 1974 and, for the primary time because the rise of the fashionable West, is all of the extra accelerating its personal decline (regardless that it doesn’t trigger it, as a result of the decline has already been ongoing for fairly a while).
By “weakening” Russia and thereby forcing it helplessly farther into the Chinese language orbit and by being “self-destructive” unto its personal additional decline (in its excessive response to the Russia-Ukraine disaster), the Western world turns into its personal worst enemy in accelerating the rise of China because the dominant energy within the years and a long time to come back (regardless that it doesn’t trigger the Asian rise, which has already been ongoing for many years). On this sense, it’s no exaggeration to foretell that China could be the most important winner when the dusts within the Russia-Ukraine disaster calm down, after each the West and Russia will exhaust themselves in Ukraine as a protracted proxy struggle, at instances irrationally (e.g., when Biden will get private with assaults on Putin and his household and buddies).
Absolutely, simply because the rise of the fashionable West was not accomplished in just a few days or even weeks, its fall will even take a long time on the very least. However this solace is not any excuse to the historic actuality that the Western world is anti-Western by being self-destructive in entrance of our very eyes, in its excessive response to the Russia-Ukraine disaster (which at instances will get too unwisely “private,” like sanctioning Putin’s daughters and confiscating his buddies’ [or Russian oligarchs’] property). Whether or not that is good or unhealthy information is relative to the eyes of the beholder, however historical past will quickly have a brand new chapter in regards to the fall of an as soon as dominant civilization and the rise of an inspiring one to exchange it on the world stage.
Concerning the creator:
Dr. Peter Baofu is an American visionary and creator of 175 scholarly books and quite a few articles (as of February 2022) to offer 141 visions (theories) of the human future in relation to the thoughts, nature, society, and tradition — and had been in additional than 118 nations world wide (as of Could 2022) for his world analysis on humanity. He was interviewed on tv and radio in addition to by newspapers world wide about his authentic concepts and visions of the human future. He obtained greater than 5 tutorial levels, together with a Ph.D. from the Massachusetts Institute of Know-how (M.I.T.), was a summa cum laude graduate, and was awarded the Delta Sigma Pi Scholarship Key for being on the prime of the category within the Faculty of Enterprise Administration, with one other scholar.
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